| Observed deaths | Projected deaths in 2040 | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2004 | 2016 | Scenario 1a | Scenario 2b | Scenario 3c | Scenario 4d | |||||||
 | n | % | n | % | n | % | n | % | n | % | n | % |
Home | 11136 | 19.8 | 13267 | 23.4 | 13855 | 21.1 | 19331 | 29.4 | 19331 | 29.4 | 13267 | 20.2 |
Care home | 8160 | 14.5 | 10668 | 18.8 | 14776 | 22.5 | 19136 | 29.1 | 10668 | 16.2 | 10668 | 16.2 |
Hospital | 32603 | 58.0 | 28422 | 50.1 | 32987 | 50.2 | 22556 | 34.3 | 31024 | 47.2 | 37089 | 56.4 |
Hospice | 2232 | 4.0 | 2444 | 4.3 | 2452 | 3.7 | 3122 | 4.7 | 3122 | 4.7 | 3122 | 4.7 |
Other | 2056 | 3.7 | 1927 | 3.4 | 1687 | 2.6 | 1619 | 2.5 | 1619 | 2.5 | 1619 | 2.5 |
TOTAL | 56187 | 100 | 56728 | 100 | 65757 | 100 | 65764 | 100 | 65764 | 100 | 65765 | 100 |