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Table 3 Accuracy of SQ1 and of SQ2

From: Screening with the double surprise question to predict deterioration and death: an explorative study

 

Total,

n

Died,

n

Survived,

n

Sensitivitya, % (95% CI)

Specificitya, % (95% CI)

PPVa, % (95% CI)

NPVa, % (95% CI)

SQ1

 No

161

24

137

24/26 = 92.3% (74.9–9.1%)

129/266 = 48.5% (42.4–54.7%)

24/161 = 14.9% (9.8–21.4%)

129/131 = 98.5% (94.6–99.8%)

 Yes

131

2

129

 Total

292

26

266

SQ2b

 Yes

22

10

12

10/24 = 41.7% (22.1–3.4%)

125/137 = 91.2% (85.2–95.4%)

10/22 = 45.5% (24.4–67.8%)

125/139 = 89.9% (83.7–94.4%)

 No

139

14

125

 Total

161

24

137

  1. Specificity: ability to correctly detect patients who are not dying
  2. PPV Positive predictive value: ability to predict death
  3. NPV Negative predictive value: ability to predict survival
  4. a Sensitivity: ability to correctly detect patients who are dying
  5. b SQ2 was only answered for patients with a negative answer to SQ1