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Table 1 Characteristics of the study sample containing prognostic estimates N (%)

From: Accuracy of clinical predictions of prognosis at the end-of-life: evidence from routinely collected data in urgent care records

 

Full prognosis cohort

Deceased

Alive

n  = 98,187

n  = 49,940 (50.9%)

n  = 48,247 (49.1%)

Gender (n = 98,184)

 Female

56,397 (57.4%)

27,026 (54.1%)

29,371 (68. 9)

 Male

41,787 (42.6%)

22,912 (45.9%)

18,875 (39.1%)

Age Group at Record Creation (n = 98,187)

 < 60

9,472 (19.2%)

4,177 (8.2%)

5,295 (11.0%)

 60–69

10,556 (10.8%)

5,375 (10.8%)

5,181 (10.7%)

 70–79

21,336 (21.7%)

10,315 (20.7%)

11,021 (22.8%)

  ≥ 80

56,883 (57.9%)

30,133 (60.3%)

26,750 (55.5%)

Age Group at Death (n = 98,125)

 < 60

3,966 (8.0%)

3,966 (8.0%)

-

 60–69

5,175 (10.5%)

5,175 (10.5%)

-

 70–79

9,907 (19.9%)

9,907 (19.9%)

-

 ≥ 80

30,830 (61.6%)

30,830 (61.6%)

-

Diagnosis (n = 98,096)

 Cancer

27,635 (28.1%)

21,444 (42.9%)

6,191 (12.8%)

 Dementia & Frailty

20,475 (20.9%)

10,549 (21.1%)

9,926 (20.6%)

 Heart Disease

14,965 (15.2%)

5,659 (11.3%)

9,306 (19.3%)

 Respiratory Disease

7,926 (8.1%)

3,086 (6.3%)

4,840 (10.0%)

 Other

27,095 (27.7%)

9,120 (18.4%)

17,975 (37.3%)

WHO Performance Status (n = 98,139)

 0 (Able to carry out all normal activity without restriction)

5,168 (5.3%)

406 (0.8%)

4,762 (9.9%)

 1 (Restricted in strenuous activity but ambulatory and able to carry out light work)

7,232 (7.4%)

1,352 (2.7%)

5,880 (12.2%)

 2 (Ambulatory and capable of all self-care but unable to carry out any work activities)

16,036 (16.3%)

5,054 (10.1%)

10,982 (22.8%)

 3 (Symptomatic and in a chair or in bed for greater than 50% of the day but not bedridden)

28,135 (28.7%)

14,239 (28.5%)

13,896 (28.8%)

 4 (Completely disabled; cannot carry out any self-care; totally confined to bed or chair)

41,568 (42.3%)

28,847 (57.9%)

12,721 (26.4%)

Place of death (n = 31,788)

 Home

 

12,714 (40.0%)

-

 Care Home

 

8,110 (25.5%)

-

 Hospice

 

4,030 (12.7%)

-

 Hospital

 

6,821 (21.5%)

-

 Other

 

113 (0.4%)

-

Preferred Place of death – Option 1 (n = 66,694)

 Home

37,132 (53.3%)

22,105 (55.5%)

15,027 (50.4%)

 Care Home

22,542 (32.3%)

12,904 (32.4%)

9,638 (32.3%)

 Hospice

4,870 (7.0%)

3,456 (8.7%)

1,414 (4.7%)

 Hospital

3,573 (5.1%)

745 (1.9%)

2,828 (9.5%)

 Other

1,577 (2.3%)

650 (1.6%)

927 (3.1%)

Preferred Place of death – Option 2 (n = 34,591)

 

 Home

9,593 (27.7%)

5,559 (28.3%)

4,034 (27.0%)

 Care Home

7,218 (20.9%)

4,050 (20.6%)

3,168 (21.2%)

 Hospice

10,526 (30.4%)

7,440 (37.8%)

3,086 (20.7%)

 Hospital

6,021 (17.4%)

2,070 (10.5%)

3,951 (26.5%)

 Other

1,233 (3.6%)

541 (2.8%)

692 (4.6%)

Preferred place of care (n = 83,645)

 Home

49,658 (59.4%)

29,298 (64.6%)

20,360 (53.2%)

 Care Home

25,064 (30.0%)

14,048 (31.0%)

11,016 (28.8%)

 Hospice

893 (1.1%)

601 (1.3%)

292 (0.8%)

 Hospital

7,164 (8.6%)

1,134 (2.5%)

6,030 (15.8%)

 Other

866 (1.0%)

295 (0.7%)

571 (1.5%)

Presence of DNACPR order (n = 98,187)

 Yes

61,798 (63.0%)

33,195 (66.5%)

28,603 (59.3%)

 No

36,389 (37.0%)

16,745 (33.5%)

19,644 (40.7%)

  1. Abbreviations: WHO World Health Organisation, DNACPR Do Not Attempt Cardiopulmonary Resuscitation. Patients who did not have resuscitation status recorded were included in the “For resuscitation” (No DNACPR order) group as this is a default treatment strategy in the UK